La croissance séculaire se produit lorsqu’un élément modifie fondamentalement dans un secteur ou une industrie, créant une nouvelle vague de demande pendant plusieurs années. Les taux de croissance séculaires devraient être sensiblement plus élevés que les taux de croissance cycliques, car la croissance séculaire dépend des changements de comportement des consommateurs plutôt que des changements du PIB. En outre, les tendances de croissance séculaires ont tendance à durer plus longtemps que les tendances cycliques.
Il existe un bon nombre d'histoires de croissance séculaire au XXIe siècle : IIoT, Smartphones, commerce électronique, médias sociaux, MedTech, entre autres.
Il est important de noter que les tendances séculaires ne sont pas à l'abri des dangers d’une récession ; nombre d'entre elles sont suffisamment fortes pour résister tandis que d'autres disparaissent lorsque le comportement des consommateurs change à la suite d'un événement comme une crise.
Small- and medium-sized businesses (SMB's) were hardest hit by the lockdowns. While proximity to their most valuable customers is certainly an advantage, getting information about their products and services out to the wider community will remain a challenge.
We see considerable opportunities for social media platforms to provide plug-and-play solutions for SMB's. At present, just a fraction of these companies actively use advertising services. Moving forward, this number is expected to grow.
For social apps, building a digital town is a feasible challenge because the required elements work very well independently; these include real-time inventory management, contactless payment systems, and delivery logistics.
TV Advertising Moving to Online Companies
TV networks and content producers manage an annual USD 163 billion ad spend (of which about USD 63 billion goes to the US market). Until 2020, the allocation management event occurred each year in May – but COVID-19 ruined not only this year's event, but also the allocation plans.
With major sports events being cancelled, postponed or scheduled with very short notice, advertisers are forced to adhere to a more proactive allocation model.
COVID-19 may have come at an opportune time, as changes were already in the air. Disruptors offer a growing number of consumers, better measurability, and real-time pricing. Competing Digital platforms will be measured in key areas, such as
- Consistent delivery and latency rate,
- High-quality reach, and
- Coverage of consumer segments.
Healthcare Technology
Many analysts with a following expect Healthcare to be strong in 2021. While legacy healthcare sector companies are predominately “Value,” new entrants are by definition “Growth.” We strongly believe that these companies will continue to lead the way across the entire sector well beyond 2021.
Recent developments suggest that healthcare technology companies will make ever-increasing use of machine learning (i.e., artificial intelligence), cloud computing, and Big Data.
As with other industry activities, the impact of pandemic stay-at-home orders has catapulted some little-known companies into the spotlight. For example, companies specializing in chemical simulation software can help scientists discover new molecular compounds much more quickly than in the past. Although many of these technologies were available in the past, their actual use has burgeoned during the pandemic.
Healthcare deals in the air
In 2020, M&A activity in the healthcare sector was below average; one can expect that 2021 will display some catch-up effects. In fact, reputable investors have begun to express a growing interest in the sector. As of the end of 2020, there are approximately 100 Special-Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPAC) that have a purse of USD 100 billion standing by with the aim of seeking M&A opportunities. Get the analyses of the companies involved here.
Contactless Payments
Most recent analysis suggests that the “new normal” will have to wait until 3rd quarter 2021, which in turn could give this new technology time to embed itself in consumer habits and grow permanent roots. We expect that the shift is likely to accelerate; a new secular growth trend is therefore in the making.
Most recent analysis suggests that the “new normal” will have to wait until 3rd quarter 2021, which in turn could result that the payment behavior adopted during the pandemic has more legs to run than initially expected. We expect that the shift is likely to accelerate; a new secular growth trend is therefore in the making.
Accessing Data as Market Differentiator
The Data Decade (Huberty) was accelerated as a result of the pandemic. The 10-year investment cycle gained speed and precision in areas such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, automation, and industrial internet of things.
It is about sink or swim!
Companies were forced to leverage into technology fields in order to maintain some modicum of activity during the lockdown.
Social-distancing measures have heightened the need to access remote data, interactions, and process steps. IDC expects an 87% compound annual growth in total AR/VR spending over the next 4 years, reaching USD 128 billion 2 years from now. While the use of AI/AR will be very niche, such as in consumer gaming, a far more pronounced application can be expected in sectors such as healthcare, retail, real estate, and education.
194,05 (CHF)
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